The 10-step winning pick formula, automated.
Run any prop through the Xeus's Analytics edge simulator. Sharp money, line movement, H2H streaks, platoon splits, and game-script independence — scored on a live confidence rating before you ever click bet.
Past results don't guarantee future outcomes.
Picks backed by hit-rate streaks up to 15/15. Streaks are historical and can end at any time — past results don't guarantee future outcomes.
Free VALUE-tier picks · 70–79% confidence
Updated daily across every sport we cover. Solid, Sharp, Fire and Lock tier picks are reserved for premium members.
The 10-Step Winning Pick Formula
Every pick clears all 10 gates before it ships. The simulator scores you against them in real time.
Verify Lineup Active
Pull live box score. Confirm starting, active, not IL/DTD. Never assume.
Real H2H Streak
Confirmed head-to-head series streak. Minimum 2/3 games hitting the line.
Platoon Split Confirmed
LHB vs RHP or RHB vs LHP — matchup edge verified before the pick clears.
Sharp Money Check
Handle% greater than Bets% — money on the pro side, not the public side.
Line Movement
Line must move toward your side. Reverse line movement = strongest sharp signal.
17-Site Consensus
All 17 must agree. Any dissent = investigate before pulling the trigger.
Game-Script Independence
Prop cashes if team loses by 20. SOG, rebounds, points, hits, assists.
80%+ Simulation Threshold
Multi-model simulation average must clear 80% before the pick is eligible.
Live Props = Real Box Score
Pull actual stats from sports app. Never use pre-game projections for live.
SP Confirmed From App
Live confirmed SP only. ERA < 5.00 last 3 starts for batter stacks. Never repeat G1 shutout matchups.
Sport-Specific Formulas
MLB, NBA, and NHL each have non-negotiables.
- Season avg +2 to +4 above line minimum
- Confirmed starting role only
- Prioritize game-script-independent props
- Avoid totals unless both defenses weak
- Live props pull halftime box first
- H2H streaks are the #1 indicator
- Only take 9/9+ H2H backed lines
- SOG / points / blocks over team totals
- Never team-total Under dominant teams
- Cross-checked across our proprietary streak board
- Max 2 batters per team per session
- SP from live app box score only
- SP ERA < 5.00 last 3 for batter stacks
- Never re-stack vs G1 shutout pitcher
- Park factors + wind weighted before stacks lock
Losing Patterns We Drop
Auto-flagged the moment they appear.
- Props that need the team to score (H+R+RBI vs elite SP)
- Fading ERA without last-3 starts check
- Totals Over without both offenses producing
- Live props without real-time box pulled
- Game-script dependent props
- Batter stacks vs SP with ERA > 5.00 in last 3
- Re-stacking after a G1 shutout
- Anything below 80% sim threshold
What Clears the Board
Below score 91 is a do-not-bet.
Confidence scores are our internal simulator's pre-game rating — not historical win rates.
Target win rate 80%+ · Sim threshold 80%+ · Confidence score 85+
Premium Board: Top Rated, Ranks & Hot Streaks
Members get live leaderboards of today's highest-confidence picks, sharp-side hot streaks, ranked parlays, and player heat charts — refreshed continuously.